Gentle-Stencil
0xa7121758c6a204376b3848d70bae75fbbecfbcdd
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$84.59
Total PnL
$-7.8K
Realised
$997.97
Win rate
78%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- NO
Transgender women be banned from the Olympics before Winter Games?
56 shares @ 61.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$56.46
$21.58
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 49.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$26.40
$11.70
- YES
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
72 shares @ 48.3¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.73
$-33.06
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
5751 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
3176 shares @ 69.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?
2635 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-79.93
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
2467 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-132.72
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
2000 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-580.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1
1774 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-23.77
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
1536 shares @ 66.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$5.00Jan 5, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$5.00Jan 5, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$5.00Jan 5, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$5.00Jan 5, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$18.84Jan 5, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?$20.00Jan 5, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?$20.00Jan 5, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?$28.61Jan 5, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$55.00Jan 5, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$85.00Jan 5, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMGOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?$102.43Jan 5, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump sue the BBC?$207.90Jan 5, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by March 31, 2026?$242.39Jan 5, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$294.29Jan 5, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out in 2025?$295.00Jan 5, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$915.02Jan 5, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$1.1KJan 5, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?$1.7KJan 5, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$2.0KJan 5, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$3.5KJan 5, 11:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $6.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 18:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 5, 11:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".