Elementary-Impairment
0xa71c7e1de7bdc8370ba85e86926e6aedf783d0a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$-3.84
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
515 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$515.00
$0.51
- NO
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
770 shares @ 25.9¢·now 48.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$376.14
$176.71
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
165 shares @ 82.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$162.11
$26.81
- MODENA FC 2018
Spread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-1.5)
134 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$134.00
$14.74
- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
291 shares @ 12.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.55
$-4.37
- NO
Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 96.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.63
$0.08
- YES
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
5 shares @ 67.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.06
$-3.29
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 - April 5 be between 18,000,000 and 18,500,000?
1929 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-289.35
- NO
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 21?
883 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-203.09
- PEPPERDINE WAVES
San Diego Toreros vs. Pepperdine Waves
856 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-676.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump name "Massie" in April?$200.20Apr 24, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump name "Massie" in April?$166.92Apr 24, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by April 30?$131.04Apr 23, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$600.85Apr 23, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?$41.00Apr 13, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$400.00Apr 13, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?$539.70Apr 11, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026$631.22Apr 11, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-1.5)$119.26Apr 11, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?$531.99Apr 11, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?$199.43Apr 11, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?$216.55Apr 9, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026$596.85Apr 9, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel annex any territory by June 30?$36.57Apr 9, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?$262.30Apr 8, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026$1.4KApr 8, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-04-18?$108.80Mar 30, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-04-18?$529.55Mar 30, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Nuclear" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$69.00Mar 30, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLHouthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?$176.40Mar 30, 16:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $308.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 01:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 03:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.