Nocturnal-Wilderness
0xa736287c1d32caac1224ac92031352c429021a09
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$124.48
Total PnL
$-59.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
204 shares @ 11.0¢·now 17.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$36.06
$13.56
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
111 shares @ 18.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.72
$-2.28
- YES
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
32 shares @ 46.2¢·now 42.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$13.63
$-1.37
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
86 shares @ 3.5¢·now 15.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$13.54
$10.54
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
106 shares @ 7.1¢·now 10.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.36
$3.86
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
69 shares @ 29.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT?
23 shares @ 4.4¢·now 27.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$6.35
$5.35
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
263 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.34
$-0.66
- YES
Will ACT New Zealand win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
20 shares @ 9.9¢·now 21.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$4.26
$2.26
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16 shares @ 16.0¢·now 13.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.16
$-0.34
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$1.02Jun 11, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT?$1.04Jun 11, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACT New Zealand win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$2.07Jun 11, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$5.11Jun 11, 03:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$1.03Jun 6, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 3 - 0 New Zealand?$1.03Jun 6, 20:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$10.21Jun 4, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$1.03Jun 4, 02:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $2.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.