Downright-Baggy
0xa74716905cc1e458457b36fb5b7549885c747a6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$3.98
Total PnL
$-28.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
15 shares @ 80.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.98
$-8.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 540 and 559 times September 5–12?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times June 20–27?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in June?
827 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
60 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.06
- YES
Farcaster airdrop in 2024?
6 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.40
- NO
Swell airdrop in 2024?
6 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$505.10Dec 3, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$505.61Dec 3, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 3?$505.62Dec 3, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 3?$506.13Dec 3, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$12.00Nov 28, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$6.00Oct 11, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 540 and 559 times September 5–12?$5.00Sep 10, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$1.00Jul 16, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 100 times June 20–27?$2.00Jun 25, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1000 in June?$1.00Jun 25, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.80Nov 2, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?$0.00Nov 2, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $170 on November 1?$0.00Nov 2, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $68,000 on November 1?$0.83Nov 2, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.06Nov 1, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $68,000 on November 1?$0.50Oct 28, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $170 on November 1?$0.60Oct 28, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $155 on October 25?$1.14Oct 28, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,600 on October 25?$0.00Oct 28, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,600 on October 25?$0.50Oct 22, 11:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $64.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 3, 07:49 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 3, 06:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".