Full-Floodplain
0xa74d91c890961cf18ad51bcc7c7b615b05b37599
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
7910 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-372.99
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
4912 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Will a Democrat win Ohio Presidential Election?
4290 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-386.12
- YES
Will a Democrat win Utah US Senate Election?
1998 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-35.97
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 7% or more?
1180 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-66.21
- YES
Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?
893 shares @ 31.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-282.80
- YES
Will Texas be the closest state?
715 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Utah Presidential Election?
226 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?
200 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-122.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$70.10Nov 6, 02:03 UTC
- REWARD$0.42Nov 6, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?$122.00Nov 5, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$764.00Nov 5, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$73.17Nov 5, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$121.83Nov 5, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$350.00Nov 5, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLFavorite to win on Polymarket day before election?$0.86Nov 5, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Ohio Presidential Election?$202.47Nov 4, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?$15.00Nov 4, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Ohio Presidential Election?$0.01Nov 4, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Ohio Presidential Election?$0.01Nov 4, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$128.00Nov 4, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$37.18Nov 4, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$172.82Nov 4, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Ohio Presidential Election?$0.02Nov 4, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Ohio Presidential Election?$183.59Nov 4, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10.00Nov 4, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$250.00Nov 4, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Utah Presidential Election?$2.00Nov 3, 16:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $80.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 23:11 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 02:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".