Knowing-Domain
0xa755daaf22d2358ab9bda7c7e5d6ea3be4ab1ea5
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$10.10
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-84.11
Win rate
20%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Karlsruher SC end in a draw?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$10.10
$5.10
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
1000 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
500 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?
485 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-132.59
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
189 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
147 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- BULLS
Bulls vs. Raptors
115 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- 49ERS
49ers vs. Texans
111 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- PATRIOTS
Seahawks vs. Patriots
109 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- LAKERS
Spurs vs. Lakers
107 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Karlsruher SC end in a draw?$5.24Aug 14, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$16.81Jul 10, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$16.39Jul 9, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$10.13Jul 9, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-11?$10.14Jul 9, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$10.12Jul 9, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$10.12Jul 9, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$20.41Jul 7, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$10.15Jul 7, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?$20.00Jul 7, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?$5.11Jul 6, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$5.13Jul 6, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Sweden end in a draw?$5.12Jun 30, 21:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.28Jun 10, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$10.19May 30, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.59May 30, 15:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $12.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 18:58 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 06:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.