Serene-Deed
0xa7689b977bbb934eddee1536aa681709c4dfc7c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.63
Total PnL
$-139.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
11 shares @ 57.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.63
$-4.37
- YES
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
94 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-59.00
- YES
Will Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
60 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?
41 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Exact Score: SC Freiburg 0 - 2 FC Bayern München?
35 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
33 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Danny Wolf: Rebounds O/U 6.5
17 shares @ 95.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?
17 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5
11 shares @ 64.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?$0.00Apr 11, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?$262.04Apr 11, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?$120.00Apr 9, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?$120.00Apr 9, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$18.00Apr 4, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?$16.00Apr 4, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: SC Freiburg 0 - 2 FC Bayern München?$3.00Apr 4, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$6.00Apr 4, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?$15.28Apr 3, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMBrook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5$28.33Mar 28, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5$28.00Mar 27, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 27, 2026?$12.63Mar 27, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 27, 2026?$15.40Mar 27, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 27, 2026?$8.00Mar 27, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 27, 2026?$15.00Mar 27, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?$11.00Mar 27, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$26.32Mar 27, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?$3.00Mar 17, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?$5.00Mar 17, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWarriors vs. Wizards$8.05Mar 17, 06:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $26.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 00:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 00:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".