Organic-Dragonfly
0xa78fb6cbd90b92629d5d0dd825613c19056f72db
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-53.8K
Realised
$5.9K
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
97862 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
43955 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-87.91
- YES
Will Cameroon win on 2026-01-09?
36958 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-57.03
- YES
$YZY listed on Coinbase or Binance by September 30?
31720 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- BUCCANEERS
Buccaneers vs. Lions
19342 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-4.6K
- NO
US military action against Iran before July?
16763 shares @ 35.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.0K
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?
16056 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- BILLS
Bills vs. Falcons
16011 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-8.5K
- CHIEFS
Chiefs vs. Jaguars
15689 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-10.2K
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-08?
12473 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-253.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$91.42Jun 3, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$92.22Jun 3, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$34.69Jun 3, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$16.03Jun 3, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$186.62Jun 3, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$187.00Jun 3, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$103.65Jun 3, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$56.87Jun 3, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$56.94Jun 3, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$41.80Jun 3, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$41.77Jun 3, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$33.49Jun 3, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$0.00Jun 3, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$4.24Jun 3, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$433.12Jun 3, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$6.11Jun 3, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$619.33Jun 3, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$279.92Jun 3, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$16.27Jun 2, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$19.77Jun 2, 05:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $243.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 19:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 23:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".