Icy-Wisdom
0xa793f4080680397b7c19baa658a89b502cc87de7
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$11.25
Total PnL
$-6.0K
Realised
$-6.63
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2500 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$11.25
$-40.03
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
651315 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-898.81
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
233372 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
37113 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
29005 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-469.21
- YES
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
19425 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-118.36
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
17000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-420.85
- YES
Will Gold close between $4800 and $4900 at the end of 2025?
7789 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-64.98
- YES
Will Gold close between $4900 and $5000 at the end of 2025?
7059 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-58.99
- YES
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
5884 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-57.69
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$11.63Mar 22, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$12.72Mar 22, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$16.03Mar 22, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$12.12Mar 21, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$35.53Mar 20, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$4.90Mar 19, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$11.94Mar 19, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?$16.78Mar 19, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$121.28Mar 19, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?$0.40Feb 28, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$9.96Feb 28, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$8.04Feb 28, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2.69Feb 28, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by February 28, 2026?$2.69Feb 28, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?$6.17Feb 28, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?$1.28Feb 28, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$2.57Feb 28, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.68Feb 28, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$3.38Feb 28, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$4.92Feb 28, 01:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $10.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 22:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 21:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".