0xa79dda6cdcf898b09a32c6355d2c1837d463ee14
0xa79dda6cdcf898b09a32c6355d2c1837d463ee14
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-53.71
Realised
$-8.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
659 shares @ 30.3¢·now 33.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$217.07
$17.09
- NO
Will Hyperliquid reach $88 in June?
210 shares @ 84.1¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$205.96
$29.55
- UP
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 26?
489 shares @ 53.4¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$139.33
$-122.02
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?
133 shares @ 93.3¢·now 92.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$123.48
$-0.60
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
116 shares @ 86.0¢·now 90.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$104.59
$5.09
- NO
Will Solana dip to $50 in June?
99 shares @ 74.3¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$97.94
$24.14
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
61 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$60.51
$2.27
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
74 shares @ 68.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$46.47
$-4.09
- YES
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?
30 shares @ 80.5¢·now 98.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.45
$5.28
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
30 shares @ 83.1¢·now 77.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$22.89
$-1.75
Recent activity
- MERGESPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 26?$5.58Jun 26, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 26?$1.10Jun 26, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 26?$1.64Jun 26, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 26?$1.12Jun 26, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 26?$1.09Jun 26, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 26?$26.51Jun 26, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 26?$26.51Jun 26, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 26?$26.51Jun 26, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 26?$26.51Jun 26, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 26?$26.51Jun 26, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 26?$26.51Jun 26, 01:11 UTC
- MERGESPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 26?$146.15Jun 26, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 26?$23.01Jun 26, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 26?$23.01Jun 26, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 26?$23.01Jun 26, 01:05 UTC
- MERGESPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 26?$48.76Jun 26, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 26?$23.03Jun 26, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLTunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 5.5$28.97Jun 26, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLJapan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5$25.72Jun 26, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 26?$3.37Jun 26, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $17.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 17:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 03:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.