Tender-Revolver
0xa7b2097c74d1f82468607966e5ff4eec10a6aad2
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$54.17
Total PnL
$-67.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?
54 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$54.17
$2.17
- YES
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
300 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.78
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV meet with Donald Trump in 2025?
59 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-35.99
- YES
Will a candidate win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election in the first round?
55 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.87
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
53 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.37
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
53 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.32
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 6, 2026?
52 shares @ 30.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-15.65
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on February 6, 2026?
52 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.47
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on February 6, 2026?
52 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.31
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on February 6, 2026?
50 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFirst round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?$52.08May 30, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election in the first round?$0.90May 30, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$53.00May 30, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.32Feb 24, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.37Feb 24, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$50.88Feb 24, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$52.00Feb 24, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on February 6, 2026?$5.70Feb 5, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 6, 2026?$15.65Feb 5, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on February 6, 2026?$1.31Feb 5, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on February 6, 2026?$0.47Feb 5, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$29.12Feb 5, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?$7.78Jan 9, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$1.97Jan 9, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?$59.00Jan 9, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$1.96Jun 5, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV meet with Donald Trump in 2025?$35.99Jun 5, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?$20.88Jun 5, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?$0.00Jun 5, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$58.70Jun 5, 06:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $12.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 04:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 06:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.