Grim-Garage
0xa815f590e64fa64d417df72c581a32f5ff449cbe
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-949.46
Realised
$-16.55
Win rate
61%
124 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
1208 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$63.42
$-9.11
- YES
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
478 shares @ 8.0¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$41.05
$2.84
- YES
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?
979 shares @ 6.3¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.64
$-22.01
- YES
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
581 shares @ 7.5¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.78
$-5.81
- YES
Will a player representing Germany be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
436 shares @ 7.6¢·now 8.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$34.91
$1.73
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-20 House seat?
510 shares @ 6.6¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$33.18
$-0.55
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
804 shares @ 4.9¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.15
$-9.25
- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
402 shares @ 7.5¢·now 7.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.15
$-1.01
- YES
Les Wexner charged by June 30?
309 shares @ 7.7¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.19
$3.36
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the IL-08 House seat?
408 shares @ 7.2¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$26.52
$-3.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?$0.09Jun 13, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?$0.19Jun 13, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?$1.22Jun 13, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$0.08Jun 13, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$14.47Jun 13, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Éder Mauro win the Governor of Pará election?$0.95Jun 13, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by June 30?$1.04Jun 13, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland be the worst-placed European nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.63Jun 13, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump on $250 bill this year?$4.50Jun 13, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands be the worst-placed European nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.47Jun 13, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?$4.10Jun 13, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.63Jun 13, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in June 2026?$0.50Jun 13, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in June 2026?$0.43Jun 13, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.30Jun 13, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?$0.32Jun 13, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mario Draghi be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$1.07Jun 13, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in June 2026?$0.14Jun 13, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in June 2026?$0.57Jun 13, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in June 2026?$0.43Jun 13, 13:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 12:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 13:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 124 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.