0xa81643c12d38695ed3e7b4a40472cb7b411b58bd
0xa81643c12d38695ed3e7b4a40472cb7b411b58bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-66.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 1PM ET
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 17?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 17?
3167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will "Jingle Bell Heist" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 9, 2025)
2102 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - December 8, 1PM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 8, 1PM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 12AM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "Kpop Demon Hunters" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 9, 2025)
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will "My Secret Santa" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 9, 2025)
85 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto in 2025?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$0.88Mar 27, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by March 31?$0.50Mar 27, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$1.39Mar 27, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$2.07Mar 27, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$4.00Mar 19, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 17?$3.00Mar 17, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 17?$1.00Mar 17, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 17?$19.00Mar 17, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$2.00Mar 15, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$3.00Mar 15, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 15, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$2.00Mar 15, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLETH flipped in 2025?$0.50Dec 14, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 16?$1.44Dec 14, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?$1.00Dec 14, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?$0.50Dec 14, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 15?$1.38Dec 14, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 14?$2.50Dec 13, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 16?$2.50Dec 13, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 15?$2.00Dec 13, 12:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 19:44 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 12:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".