Rough-Bucket
0xa817a6fc8762f1d11f6b15a69be982d0870e6714
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$3.6K
Total PnL
$-767.41
Realised
$-7.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
OKX IPO in 2026?
2454 shares @ 78.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.2K
$299.27
- YES
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 73.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$724.99
$-5.00
- YES
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$195.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
149 shares @ 67.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$133.58
$33.58
- YES
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?
827 shares @ 13.6¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.86
$-61.50
- YES
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?
59 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$49.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
33 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$30.49
$0.49
- YES
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
34 shares @ 88.8¢·now 88.8¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$29.98
$-0.02
- OVER
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5
46 shares @ 65.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$29.77
$-0.23
- OVER
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5
65 shares @ 46.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$29.67
$-0.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?$50.00Jun 14, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5$7.15Jun 14, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5$7.21Jun 14, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5$7.20Jun 14, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5$7.18Jun 14, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5$7.19Jun 14, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5$30.49Jun 14, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5$30.31Jun 14, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$50.36Jun 14, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.02Jun 14, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.02Jun 14, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.02Jun 14, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.07Jun 14, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.10Jun 14, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$728.55Jun 14, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$202.75Jun 14, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.36Jun 14, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.05Jun 14, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?$204.16Jun 1, 23:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?$219.78Jun 1, 13:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $110.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 03:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.