Tempting-Codling
0xa81a5dd6b99f31860f201b6662bbb345df0795b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$174.56
Total PnL
$-962.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
171 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$169.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$4.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 12?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 31?
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.10 on December 16?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 5?
450 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-225.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on December 11?
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 17?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 25?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,700 December 8-14?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.13Jun 5, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?$170.04Jun 4, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.20Jun 4, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$44.10Jun 4, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$28.62Jun 4, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$5.38Jun 4, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$11.62Jun 4, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.12Jun 4, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.56Jun 3, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 26?$5.36May 26, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 26?$5.25May 26, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 26?$5.09May 26, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 26?$1.48May 26, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 26?$5.95May 26, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 26?$5.37May 26, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 26?$1.65May 26, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 26?$5.83May 26, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 26?$5.03May 26, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 26?$5.25May 26, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 26?$5.67May 26, 15:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $27.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 12:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".