Monthly-Lollipop
0xa82365c8e854728c472812fba6202ca125386215
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
72
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$184.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- NO
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
245 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$240.78
$-0.12
- OVER
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 9.5
280 shares @ 33.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 14, 2026$228.48
$135.96
- CHICAGO CUBS
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves
163 shares @ 37.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$155.98
$94.42
- G2 ESPORTS
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner
103 shares @ 69.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$103.06
$31.55
- G2 ESPORTS
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs
94 shares @ 85.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$93.89
$13.82
- NO
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
69 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$68.17
$-0.03
- DUCKS
Golden Knights vs. Ducks
93 shares @ 51.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$49.64
$2.32
- NO
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-14?
86 shares @ 50.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$45.07
$2.15
- YES
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?
130 shares @ 34.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$43.56
$-0.65
- NO
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
38 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$37.38
$-0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 15?$1.26May 15, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$13.72May 15, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$85.99May 15, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$36.35May 15, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$0.97May 15, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$0.54May 15, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.10May 15, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves$3.35May 15, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$1.10May 15, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$4.47May 15, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$7.92May 15, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$10.54May 15, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$5.72May 15, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$28.35May 15, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$2.27May 15, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$45.59May 15, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$20.37May 15, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?$1.10May 15, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs$2.22May 15, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$21.31May 15, 00:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $7.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 00:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 01:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".