Acidic-Wren-Man
0xa83af7b25fe71906c720e70bc1bf0fd1764b646c
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$128.33
Total PnL
$-5.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
19 shares @ 81.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.09
$0.09
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
22 shares @ 66.9¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.02
$-0.98
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
54 shares @ 18.5¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
65 shares @ 15.3¢·now 15.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
51 shares @ 19.5¢·now 19.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$9.82
$-0.18
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
50 shares @ 16.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$8.50
$0.50
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
9 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
24 shares @ 34.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$7.76
$-0.24
- NO
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?
36 shares @ 13.9¢·now 18.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$6.47
$1.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?$5.222h ago
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?$5.192h ago
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$5.192h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$5.172h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?$5.322h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?$5.262h ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$10.472h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.252h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$5.002h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.003h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$5.203h ago
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$5.603h ago
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$4.813h ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$8.008h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$8.348h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$8.268h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$10.408h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$5.058h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$5.092d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$15.002d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $6.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".