Distinct-Fender
0xa83ce4f3e3bedc5cb8c306f0cabd91d62a3674cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$24.08
Total PnL
$-3.76
Realised
$0.30
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 97.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.08
$0.08
- NO
Will the Movement for the Liberation of the Central African People win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
4 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$3.88
$0.04
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
4 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.45
$0.29
- NO
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 95.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.33
$-0.07
- NO
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
3 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$3.06
$0.06
- NO
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.36
$0.16
- NO
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.00
$0.11
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.90
$0.25
- NO
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.48
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.49
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$3.66Jun 4, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?$1.48Jun 4, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$2.81May 18, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.52May 14, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$3.11May 14, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$6.22May 14, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.05May 14, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$6.12Apr 22, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?$2.80Apr 19, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$2.49Apr 18, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$4.90Apr 18, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 15?$5.19Apr 18, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 15?$5.08Apr 15, 05:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?$2.08Apr 11, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on April 8?$5.08Apr 11, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on April 8?$5.00Apr 8, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 30-April 5?$3.76Apr 7, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$4.70Apr 7, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$4.60Apr 5, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out by June 30, 2026?$4.00Apr 4, 08:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $268.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 01:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 01:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.