Handy-Convection
0xa85168059ff34abdb9489c276c3fd24e57c9e233
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$3.94
Total PnL
$-446.63
Realised
$7.40
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
24 shares @ 12.6¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$3.94
$0.94
- YES
Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?
25000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?
25000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?
25000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?
25000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6AM ET
8000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the ECB announce an increase at the October meeting?
2334 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1200 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-21.60
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 8?
1140 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.00Jun 3, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 3, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.93Jun 3, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$1.92Jun 3, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 3, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$1.00Jun 3, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$1.00Jun 3, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$1.00Jun 3, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$5.00Apr 28, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$4.86Apr 28, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$5.00Apr 28, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$8.00Mar 29, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$5.12Mar 29, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$3.12Mar 29, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.40Mar 27, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$2.00Mar 27, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$145.45Mar 26, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$2.00Mar 25, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$5.00Mar 25, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$5.00Mar 25, 11:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $7.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 08:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 11:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.