Evergreen-Replacement
0xa86dab263faaddcba6c7c9d467cbe4eef4bd5b7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$15.59
Total PnL
$-197.78
Realised
$22.47
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$4.68
$-0.36
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 93.9¢·now 86.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.34
$-0.35
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.17
$-0.17
- YES
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
102 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.39
$0.68
- NO
Bolsonaro guilty?
9006 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-213.72
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- B8
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner
5 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$1.02Jun 12, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score$1.02Jun 11, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.47Jun 11, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.35Jun 11, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.14May 22, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA 6 launch postponed again?$5.08May 22, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.33May 3, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$14.00Apr 8, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$6.00Feb 21, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$3.26Feb 21, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$2.00Feb 21, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.70Feb 18, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$5.22Feb 18, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.00Feb 18, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.23Feb 18, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$0.94Feb 18, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.00Feb 18, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.00Feb 18, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$0.00Feb 18, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.55Feb 18, 19:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 11, 02:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 17:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.