Impassioned-Accomplishment
0xa87202c71588853f855bd5f7c68ab8ef51f8c2f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$301.13
Total PnL
$-108.08
Realised
$-69.81
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
924 shares @ 10.9¢·now 10.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$96.97
$-3.92
- YES
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Las Vegas Raiders next?
545 shares @ 13.4¢·now 14.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$76.25
$3.14
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
211 shares @ 16.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.64
$-2.98
- YES
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
540 shares @ 8.9¢·now 5.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$29.40
$-18.65
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
83 shares @ 30.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$26.03
$1.24
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
341 shares @ 8.2¢·now 7.3¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$25.10
$-3.04
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
26 shares @ 23.3¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.17
$1.20
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
27 shares @ 15.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.68
$-0.41
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.15
$0.09
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 33.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.91
$0.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$4.87Jul 28, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$2.19Jul 28, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$4.29Jul 28, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$3.57Jul 27, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$8.43Jul 27, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$4.28Jul 27, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$5.51Jul 27, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.78Jul 27, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$6.14Jul 27, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$6.14Jul 27, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$1.80Jul 27, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?$4.97Jul 27, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?$3.87Jul 27, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$5.66Jul 26, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?$9.29Jul 26, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$17.59Jul 26, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$6.59Jul 26, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$8.28Jul 26, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$14.38Jul 26, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$15.81Jul 24, 14:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 16:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 17:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.