Will Tyreek Hill play for the Las Vegas Raiders next?
Probability
44¢
1h
-0.8pp
24h
-3.7pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$13.23
Probability (last 7 days)
+2.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 4pp over 24h
Now 44¢; -0.8pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3081h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 86.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3081.5h
- 14:25SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3081h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 39¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 41¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.2pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.8pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.4pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.7pp
to 41¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.6pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.2pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.1pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.8pp
to 47¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.8pp
to 47¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 47¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the next NFL team Tyreek Hill joins by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Tyreek Hill does not join a new NFL team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Tyreek Hill joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Tyreek Hill is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any NFL team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market. An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL or the acquiring team.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Aug 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (86.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).