Ugly-Condor
0xa87dfae521f4b9edb8cf3ef3c190712cd750835e
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$2.13
Total PnL
$-32.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
8 shares @ 24.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.12
$-0.88
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.70
$-4.30
- YES
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
36 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.31
$-3.69
- YES
Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
54 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-12-29?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?
21 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by March 31, 2026?$1.00Feb 11, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$1.00Feb 11, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?$4.86Feb 11, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$0.01Jan 31, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?$0.01Jan 31, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$2.00Jan 22, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$5.00Jan 16, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?$6.14Jan 3, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?$4.00Jan 3, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 3, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?$2.33Jan 3, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 3, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$5.00Jan 2, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$3.00Jan 2, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTennessee vs. Illinois$2.00Dec 30, 23:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?$4.94Dec 29, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?$5.00Dec 29, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz resign by June 30?$4.00Dec 29, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?$1.00Dec 29, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?$5.00Dec 29, 22:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $3.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 20:57 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 11, 23:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".