Twin-Cylinder
0xa8815c1490a9127ce78c3c37cb065082874a8cee
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-72.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will DAX (DAX) hit 19500 (LOW) in March?
199 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $156 Week of April 6 2026?
166 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 24?
97 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on April 6?
85 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.56
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on March 22?
83 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.81
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 22?
81 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.55
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 23?
79 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.54
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 26?
76 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 1?
72 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 25?
61 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.43
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 15?$46.83Jul 15, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 15?$0.03Jul 14, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 15?$21.27Jul 14, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 15?$5.22Jul 14, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 15?$18.76Jul 14, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 5?$55.49Jun 5, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 5?$54.21Jun 4, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 1?$2.29Jun 1, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 26?$54.89May 26, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 26?$52.69May 25, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 25?$3.66May 25, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 22?$3.79May 22, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 19?$62.22May 19, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 19?$59.42May 19, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 11?$54.71May 11, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 11?$52.80May 10, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 13?$58.06May 1, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 26?$0.00Apr 16, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 13?$14.83Apr 13, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 13?$39.74Apr 13, 11:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $20.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 21:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 16:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.