Lighthearted-Reality
0xa899127cd26cb30ac58dae7ebadcc49000f9294b
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$4.20
Total PnL
$-3.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.40
$0.00
- NO
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.80
$0.00
- YES
Will Meitu- Photo & Video Editor be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
1300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Gonzalo Winter win the Chilean presidential election?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Etuate Lavulavu be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?
60 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.80Jun 5, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?$2.40Jun 5, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.02Jun 1, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.01Jun 1, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$2.00May 31, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.01May 31, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.00May 30, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?$5.02May 30, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?$2.01May 30, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?$3.02May 29, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMSolstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?$27.34May 26, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?$27.21May 26, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.00May 21, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Serbia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$30.22May 17, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$30.11May 16, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$30.09May 14, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$30.00May 13, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.00May 10, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00May 10, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?$5.00May 8, 20:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $6.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 12:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 12:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".