Unsteady-Referendum
0xa89dd8de247ffdca46ac2f10a9330e596a15d941
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$88.09
Total PnL
$-3.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
88 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$88.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.80 on October 22?
467 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be less than $150 on October 22?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$88.00May 25, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$88.09May 25, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$88.00May 21, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 15?$87.09May 21, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 15?$87.00May 15, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?$87.09May 15, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?$87.01May 10, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?$87.09May 10, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?$87.01May 6, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$87.09May 6, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$87.00May 1, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on April 25?$87.08May 1, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on April 25?$87.00Apr 25, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$87.08Apr 25, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$87.00Apr 20, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 16?$87.08Apr 20, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 16?$87.00Apr 16, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 12?$87.08Apr 16, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 12?$87.00Apr 12, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$87.08Apr 12, 08:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $86.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 07:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 12:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".