Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

1. 1

   Down 14pp over 24h

   Now 7¢; -1.8pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 144h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Wide spread — 11.4¢

   Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

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This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.