Equatorial-Avenue
0xa8c7c83aa994e0bb717b0a61e8eec7f09f0b7e6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$110.99
Total PnL
$-555.09
Realised
$-4.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
152 shares @ 46.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.76
$0.76
- YES
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
1467 shares @ 13.6¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.87
$-183.13
- YES
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
56 shares @ 45.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$11.94
$-13.06
- YES
Grok 4.4 released by June 30?
166 shares @ 18.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.38
$-24.36
- NO
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
51 shares @ 9.5¢·now 6.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$3.17
$-1.65
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.21
$-3.79
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
215 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.86
$-19.14
- YES
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
229 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.80
$-4.20
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?
704 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$55.31Jun 23, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$40.84Jun 23, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.13Jun 23, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$0.00Jun 23, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$140.04Jun 23, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$121.20Jun 23, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$120.38Jun 23, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$101.96Jun 23, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$60.59Jun 23, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$0.00Jun 23, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$57.97Jun 23, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$40.87Jun 23, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$19.13Jun 23, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$41.23Jun 23, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$65.61Jun 23, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$61.05Jun 23, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$5.21Jun 23, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$28.04Jun 23, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$31.24Jun 23, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$30.98Jun 23, 20:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $215.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 18:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 21:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.