Hot-Surplus
0xa90b7b58671416983883516eb5a36e8e0ecb5ca7
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$560.20
Total PnL
$-54.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- OVER
Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5
364 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$364.02
$69.02
- OVER
FC Arouca vs. CD Tondela: O/U 1.5
256 shares @ 78.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$196.18
$-3.82
- YES
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-17?
256 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-99.80
- YES
Will João Almeida finish in the top five at the Tour de France 2025?
34 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCeltic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5$296.68May 16, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMAston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5$166.89May 15, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Arouca vs. CD Tondela: O/U 1.5$201.32May 15, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMAston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5$506.33May 15, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYAston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5$93.03May 15, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYAston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5$402.52May 15, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2025-08-17?$99.80Aug 17, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLATP Toronto – Musetti vs. Duckworth$41.62Jul 29, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYATP Toronto – Musetti vs. Duckworth$30.00Jul 29, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France 2025?$118.83Jul 12, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$11.63Jul 12, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?$14.85Jul 12, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWimbledon Final – Anisimova vs. Swiatek$41.67Jul 12, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon Final – Anisimova vs. Swiatek$30.00Jul 12, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic $73.53Jul 11, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWimbledon: Bencic vs. Swiatek (W) $27.03Jul 11, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic $50.00Jul 11, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon: Bencic vs. Swiatek (W) $20.00Jul 10, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luis Diaz sign with a new club during the transfer window? $20.98Jul 9, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWimbledon: Swiatek vs. Samsonova (W) $13.51Jul 9, 16:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $57.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 15:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 11:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".