Formal-Sheep
0xa9368b2266eaea56d9ae213754222f86e2023b90
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
106
Open notional
$277.04
Total PnL
$-5.5K
Realised
$-513.09
Win rate
33%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3100 shares @ 3.4¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$150.35
$45.05
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 17.6¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$80.25
$-7.90
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
200 shares @ 24.3¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$46.44
$-2.17
- PSV
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)
650 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-325.00
- YES
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?
523 shares @ 60.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-316.04
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?
470 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-300.80
- YES
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?
465 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-228.24
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?
437 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-275.37
- YES
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?
378 shares @ 39.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-149.61
- YES
Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?
352 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-77.35
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$145.85Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$76.61Jun 13, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5) AND Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)$25.42Jun 13, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$25.07Jun 13, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Switzerland (-1.5)$40.68Jun 13, 17:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$40.61Jun 12, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$0.34Jun 12, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$25.98Jun 12, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMKorea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 0.5$30.00Jun 12, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKorea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 0.5$19.50Jun 12, 02:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5$36.00Jun 11, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5$20.43Jun 11, 18:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-08?$30.97Jun 8, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Netherlands (-1.5)$73.16Jun 8, 17:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $99.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.