Occasional-Tilt
0xa97e43db0a4a6007899abf75817c452d5a7224ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.8K
Total PnL
$-11.6K
Realised
$3.9K
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3200 shares @ 45.9¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.7K
$1.2K
- YES
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
5756 shares @ 26.8¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$748.29
$-792.70
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
1357 shares @ 31.9¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$359.64
$-74.06
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
720 shares @ 10.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.28
$-63.92
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 27?
77218 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-165.71
- YES
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
52663 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.7K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9?
46939 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-72.80
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?
40000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 31?
37850 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-56.62
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?
32954 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-155.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11?$0.49Jun 11, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11?$0.07Jun 11, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11?$0.15Jun 11, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11?$0.15Jun 11, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11?$0.15Jun 11, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11?$0.15Jun 11, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11?$7.84Jun 11, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9?$1.07Jun 9, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9?$5.35Jun 9, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9?$1.34Jun 9, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9?$0.28Jun 9, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9?$10.70Jun 9, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9?$3.92Jun 9, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9?$5.35Jun 9, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9?$0.08Jun 9, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9?$5.71Jun 9, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9?$0.03Jun 9, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9?$5.00Jun 9, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9?$4.28Jun 9, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9?$8.56Jun 9, 15:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 23:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 19:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.