Glass-Butterfly
0xa97f1eb31a69b1ffcbbb2fe527fa4d81760aa166
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$1.93
Total PnL
$-33.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 14?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 14?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or higher on April 24?
160 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 28?
136 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 28?
86 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 27?
51 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 28?
32 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 28?
21 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on May 10?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 10?
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 14?$1.014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 14?$1.014h ago
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 11?$2.862d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 11?$1.412d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 11?$1.013d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?$1.013d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 11?$1.034d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?$5.084d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 8?$1.105d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 8?$1.005d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 10?$1.045d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 8?$2.905d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on May 10?$1.055d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 10?$1.055d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 10?$1.045d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 8?$5.165d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 6?$3.237d ago
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 6?$0.007d ago
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on May 6?$0.007d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 5?$0.007d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $2.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 13d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
