Known-Facelift
0xa988237e2a7be581f19a461810010891ce903ef0
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$2.80
Total PnL
$-62.33
Realised
$17.87
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.80
$-2.20
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
270 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Syria in March?
117 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$72.5 in January?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by October 31
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?
34 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will there be five or six announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?
32 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
30 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January?
28 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Syria in March?$7.00Mar 14, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US capture another world leader in 2026?$4.50Mar 14, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$6.00Jan 11, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$5.00Jan 7, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January?$5.00Jan 7, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US capture another world leader in 2026?$5.00Jan 7, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?$22.73Jan 7, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$3.00Jan 5, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?$5.00Jan 3, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle at $70-$72.5 in January?$5.00Jan 3, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$5.00Jan 3, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?$5.00Jan 3, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be five or six announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 3, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$8.00Oct 26, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$10.00Oct 26, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by October 31$10.00Oct 26, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by October 31$27.87Oct 26, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by October 31$10.00Oct 23, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October?$5.00Oct 23, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?$1.00Oct 23, 18:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $6.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 2, 12:38 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 16:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.