Misguided-Inn
0xa9900c86831447c8c2d023ddceb66f14801284be
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$8.14
Total PnL
$-604.97
Realised
$-48.92
Win rate
38%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
15 shares @ 18.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.83
$1.13
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.93
$0.59
- YES
AI bubble burst in 2026?
4 shares @ 37.0¢·now 20.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.84
$-0.64
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 65.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$0.19
$-2.41
- YES
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
1 shares @ 1.1¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.19
$0.18
- YES
Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026?
3 shares @ 25.0¢·now 4.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.14
$-0.61
- YES
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
4 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.02
$-0.42
- NO
Will Brandon Steven be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?
259 shares @ 78.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-203.06
- NO
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
170 shares @ 98.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-167.87
- YES
Will Cramer say "Good Time to Buy" during TBPN on December 4?
95 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00May 22, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?$4.00May 22, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMForeign intervention in Gaza by March 31?$4.00May 22, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?$4.00May 22, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00May 22, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$25.00May 22, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Emily Blunt be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$59.00May 22, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$8.46Feb 8, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$5.10Feb 8, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$9.18Feb 8, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?$5.00Jan 12, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$7.00Jan 12, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on December 4?$8.00Jan 12, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMRussia strike on Kyiv municipality on December 5?$9.00Jan 12, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMAnduril IPO in 2025?$11.83Jan 12, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Jay Kelly" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (December 9, 2025)$12.00Jan 12, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Dell" or "Stellantis" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$15.00Jan 12, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by 2025?$22.00Jan 11, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike 2 countries in December 2025?$26.00Jan 11, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$26.00Jan 11, 22:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $17.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 15:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 03:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.