Icy-Disk
0xa99405156426ff2cb885d8f0a2b56ac9010a19a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
166
Open notional
$134.22
Total PnL
$-73.07
Realised
$-6.16
Win rate
85%
61 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 166- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
3773 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.66
$1.89
- YES
Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
304 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.89
$-0.15
- YES
Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2026 Men's French Open?
1756 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.63
$0.88
- YES
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?
308 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.62
$-0.77
- YES
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
954 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$2.38
$-0.48
- YES
Will Oceania win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
862 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.15
$0.43
- YES
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1359 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.04
$-0.68
- YES
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1353 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.03
$-0.68
- YES
Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?
355 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.95
$-0.18
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
258 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.93
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$0.80May 18, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.00May 18, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$0.00May 18, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$0.07May 18, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$0.06May 18, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.59May 18, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?$1.62May 18, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?$0.47May 18, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.54May 18, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.21May 18, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.10May 18, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.07May 18, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?$0.00May 18, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?$0.01May 18, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.06May 18, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.15May 18, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.01May 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.13May 18, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohamed Salah be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$1.41May 18, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?$1.24May 18, 08:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 06:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 61 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".