Inexperienced-Grandfather
0xa99b41e9ac6539fbcabce0703127b78438bd1211
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
165
Open notional
$3.7K
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-322.25
Win rate
33%
48 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 165- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
817 shares @ 61.2¢·now 66.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$544.53
$44.53
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
685 shares @ 73.0¢·now 76.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$525.74
$25.69
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
617 shares @ 81.1¢·now 84.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$523.19
$23.12
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1859 shares @ 26.9¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$432.15
$-67.84
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1285 shares @ 38.9¢·now 33.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$428.66
$-71.34
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2632 shares @ 19.0¢·now 15.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$398.69
$-101.32
- NO
Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
100 shares @ 96.5¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$93.30
$-3.20
- NO
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
600 shares @ 16.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$69.00
$-27.00
- NO
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
232 shares @ 70.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$63.93
$-98.81
- YES
Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026?
90 shares @ 93.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$61.45
$-22.59
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2026?$354.00Jun 13, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?$4.12Jun 13, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? $2.73Jun 13, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLMobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Indonesia Playoffs$1.20Jun 13, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$122.00Jun 13, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLMobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Indonesia Playoffs$0.55Jun 13, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? $0.07Jun 13, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLMobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Indonesia Playoffs$3.50Jun 13, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Indonesia Playoffs$25.31Jun 13, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLMobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Indonesia Playoffs$4.36Jun 13, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLMobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Indonesia Playoffs$1.00Jun 13, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$1.92Jun 13, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$1.92Jun 13, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$12.78Jun 13, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? $2.80Jun 13, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLMobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Indonesia Playoffs$1.00Jun 13, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$0.22Jun 13, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$0.22Jun 13, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$32.89Jun 13, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$7.97Jun 13, 10:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $27.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 09:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 48 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.