Inexperienced-Grandfather
0xa99b41e9ac6539fbcabce0703127b78438bd1211
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$6.34
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
700 shares @ 67.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$458.50
$-10.50
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
300 shares @ 96.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$291.15
$0.75
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
300 shares @ 71.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$217.51
$4.50
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
200 shares @ 95.2¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 14, 2026$190.30
$-0.10
- NO
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
200 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$187.50
$-2.50
- NO
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
200 shares @ 65.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$161.00
$31.00
- NO
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
200 shares @ 70.0¢·now 69.2¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$138.38
$-1.62
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
400 shares @ 33.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$134.00
$2.00
- YES
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
200 shares @ 66.8¢·now 59.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$118.00
$-15.50
- YES
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
300 shares @ 35.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$106.50
$1.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$6.4651m ago
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$33.741h ago
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by April 30?$25.901h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$132.001h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.631h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$17.001h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$32.371h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$24.001h ago
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$84.001h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$8.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$87.003h ago
- TRADEBUYWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?$105.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$190.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$50.504h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$5.405h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$13.005h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$54.005h ago
- REWARD$173.726h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$2.566h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?$64.007h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $55.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 10h ago
- Last active
- 51m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.