Tiny-Maracas
0xa9a17207f78f18521868a51e94b763c3bd66c98a
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$23.1K
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-664.41
Win rate
56%
132 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
8172 shares @ 84.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.6K
$713.06
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
825 shares @ 95.3¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$704.55
$-81.14
- NO
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
680 shares @ 95.7¢·now 94.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$644.24
$-6.18
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
600 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$567.90
$15.90
- YES
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?
566 shares @ 89.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$494.93
$-10.14
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
606 shares @ 91.9¢·now 76.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$464.94
$-91.78
- NO
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
400 shares @ 94.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$398.35
$20.27
- NO
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
321 shares @ 96.9¢·now 90.2¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$289.84
$-21.48
- NO
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
283 shares @ 93.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$280.32
$16.72
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
489 shares @ 82.1¢·now 50.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$248.22
$-153.44
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.13Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.13Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Thunder Parley advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jun 11, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dylan Colbert advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jun 11, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ryan Tillman advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jun 11, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jun 11, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Katie Porter advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jun 11, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill David Serpa advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jun 11, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kyle Langford advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jun 11, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leo Zacky advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jun 11, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jun 11, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ian Calderon advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jun 11, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Raji Rab advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jun 11, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carolina Buhler advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jun 11, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jun 11, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brandon Jones advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jun 11, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethan Agarwal advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jun 11, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Daniel Mercuri advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$15.00Jun 11, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Antonio Villaraigosa advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$20.00Jun 11, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$55.27Jun 11, 20:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 132 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.