Waterlogged-Money
0xa9e1d1f648bd83f40125fea501010da17e977a8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$12.79
Total PnL
$-266.01
Realised
$-0.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
88 shares @ 17.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.79
$-2.21
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 11AM ET
1111 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
626 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
110 shares @ 54.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
108 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-25.98
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
64 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
55 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- YES
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
43 shares @ 35.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$15.00Mar 30, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$10.00Mar 26, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?$10.00Mar 25, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$4.04Mar 23, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$14.00Mar 22, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Dimona by March 31?$3.09Mar 22, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$11.22Mar 22, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$12.00Mar 22, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$7.00Mar 22, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$3.63Mar 22, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$10.00Mar 22, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$60.00Mar 22, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$24.24Mar 22, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$24.23Mar 22, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Dimona by March 31?$10.00Mar 21, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 19?$10.00Mar 19, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$25.00Mar 19, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$25.00Mar 19, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-18?$5.00Mar 18, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$5.00Mar 18, 15:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $13.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 16:31 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 10:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".