Occasional-Leadership
0xa9e3709a27427af737d6bb917b41d9fe6d33ffde
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-52.02
Realised
$0.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on September 14?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?
769 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
421 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.89
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
297 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.78
- NO
Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?
269 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Syria by September 15?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Skye Valadez confirmed perp?
214 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
156 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
105 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.38
- NO
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
101 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.00Dec 20, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.00Dec 20, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 4+ knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?$10.00Dec 20, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 4+ knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?$1.40Dec 20, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $1.40Dec 20, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$1.78Nov 25, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.78Nov 25, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon no longer world's richest before 2026?$7.38Nov 25, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$7.20Nov 25, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?$1.00Nov 25, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sentient launch a token in 2025?$1.18Nov 25, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$2.98Nov 15, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sentient launch a token in 2025?$1.00Nov 15, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$2.00Nov 15, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$4.00Nov 15, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$2.02Nov 10, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $1.00Nov 8, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?$1.00Nov 8, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$1.90Nov 8, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.00Nov 8, 04:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 11, 22:09 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 20, 11:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".