Sure-Footed-Tintype
0xa9ed04e1294b43962102209c1a4d4aa013160aed
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-463.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
18333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-54.98
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
8710 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-26.13
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
6770 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-55.48
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
5833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
4320 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-8.64
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
4146 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-54.27
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
3514 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-119.78
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
1770 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-24.78
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?
1770 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-23.01
- YES
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
1524 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$9.07Jun 15, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$36.74Jun 15, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$27.43Jun 13, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$57.74Jun 13, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$0.00Jun 3, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$13.35Jun 1, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$10.00Jun 1, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$7.00Jun 1, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$6.00Jun 1, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$50.16May 31, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.26May 29, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$8.24May 29, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.01May 29, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.01May 29, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.29May 29, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$9.99May 29, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$29.70May 24, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$185.40Feb 28, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 6 days or more?$31.00Feb 3, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?$15.95Feb 2, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $17.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 00:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 17:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.