Aching-Raft
0xa9f4f910d059dd1bdca80bd4dde493def37e8652
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$24.80
Total PnL
$-2.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
43 shares @ 46.9¢·now 44.6¢·exp May 16, 2026$19.04
$-0.96
- YES
Will King Charles say "Trump" during State Opening?
42 shares @ 4.8¢·now 5.8¢·exp May 13, 2026$2.42
$0.41
- YES
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?
221 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.22
$-0.77
- YES
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.88
$-0.13
- YES
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia win Eurovision 2026?$2.0911h ago
- TRADEBUYWill King Charles say "Trump" during State Opening?$2.0811h ago
- TRADEBUYWill San Marino win Eurovision 2026?$1.0511h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?$1.0511h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?$1.0511h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$20.5311h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $4.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 11h ago
- Last active
- 11h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
