This-Diamond
0xaa041cdd6f991d588f8f387e7f1046a82d9a66e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$78.05
Total PnL
$-751.69
Realised
$107.48
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?
100 shares @ 43.9¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$68.98
$25.10
- YES
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
1906 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.58
$-42.91
- YES
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?
3 shares @ 9.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.50
$0.26
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
715 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-142.94
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
700 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-324.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
308 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-141.69
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
300 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-57.55
- YES
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?
160 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-56.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
147 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-16.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?$3.74Jul 21, 01:21 UTC
- REWARD$1.66Jul 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?$5.40Jul 20, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?$4.30Jul 20, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?$3.04Jul 20, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?$0.24Jul 20, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?$3.93Jul 20, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?$10.85Jul 20, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?$12.97Jul 20, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?$1.08Jul 19, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?$14.12Jul 19, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?$42.13Jul 19, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLDua Lipa pregnant in 2026?$20.50Jul 17, 01:44 UTC
- TRADESELLDua Lipa pregnant in 2026?$25.42Jul 17, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$171.60Jul 14, 23:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?$125.42Jul 12, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?$1.00Jul 12, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?$4.75Jul 12, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$141.00Jul 7, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$1.06Jul 7, 12:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $41.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 01:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.