0xaa357feb7509be54f2acf16e920b090c9ab782a1
0xaa357feb7509be54f2acf16e920b090c9ab782a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.83
Total PnL
$-18.89
Realised
$0.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?
5 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.23
$-0.01
- YES
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 3.4¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.20
$0.03
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?
5 shares @ 4.9¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.17
$-0.07
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 3.1¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.07
$-0.09
- YES
Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 3.6¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.06
$-0.12
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.05
$-0.14
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.05
$-0.03
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethena reach $0.28 in May?
14 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 Week of May 18 2026?
12 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?$0.25May 30, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?$0.01May 29, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?$1.00May 28, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?$0.05May 28, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $52 in May?$0.01May 27, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $52 in May?$0.01May 27, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?$0.23May 24, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $84 in May?$0.07May 24, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?$0.05May 24, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $420 in May?$0.17May 24, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $92 in May?$0.08May 24, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $168 in May?$0.10May 24, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 in May?$0.20May 24, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by May 31?$0.06May 24, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $216 in May?$0.04May 24, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?$0.10May 24, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $60 in May?$0.23May 24, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?$0.04May 24, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in May?$0.08May 24, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?$0.21May 24, 09:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 08:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 15:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.