Ancient-Era
0xaa3f32c865cf63860f774a38ebaba8549ea82d8b
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$175.80
Total PnL
$-16.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
64 shares @ 47.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$57.13
$27.13
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
67 shares @ 74.8¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$40.46
$-9.54
- YES
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?
62 shares @ 65.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$39.08
$-0.92
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
116 shares @ 17.2¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.24
$-0.76
- YES
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$9.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$4.13
$-15.88
- YES
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2026 Super Chess Classic Romania?
34 shares @ 29.3¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$3.25
$-6.75
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 3.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.72
$0.72
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Hikaru Nakamura win on 2026-04-14 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?$40.42May 15, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Firouzja win the 2026 Super Chess Classic Romania?$10.21May 15, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$10.10May 15, 12:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$10.13May 14, 09:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$40.37May 7, 05:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 2, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $26.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 17:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".