Present-Personal
0xaa9acd637320b0e2ccf170fe0335ab6a89f1a377
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$232.05
Total PnL
$-11.5K
Realised
$-104.34
Win rate
46%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will Pudgy Penguins floor price dip to 2 ETH before 2027?
272 shares @ 77.6¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$179.63
$-31.57
- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
348 shares @ 71.8¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$52.42
$-197.58
- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10237 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-92.12
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
9800 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-297.00
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?
1931 shares @ 51.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- NO
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
1816 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-528.87
- NO
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during call with Service Members on November 27?
1693 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-621.06
- YES
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
1515 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Job" 15+ times during April press conference?
1500 shares @ 66.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Powell say "Median" during January press conference?
1491 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-686.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMParaguay vs. France: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$798.56Jul 4, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay vs. France: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$500.75Jul 4, 20:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
46% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $110.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 13:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 23:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.