Unfortunate-Wolf
0xaaa1a769c6ab0acfd056e1cf86822c99eddd7e69
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$152.40
Total PnL
$-7.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
131 shares @ 38.2¢·now 38.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$49.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
73 shares @ 41.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
37 shares @ 54.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$20.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
36 shares @ 55.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$14.55
$-5.45
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
46 shares @ 21.6¢·now 23.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$11.09
$1.09
- YES
Will Israel come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?
51 shares @ 19.5¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$10.49
$0.49
- YES
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$9.51
$-0.49
- YES
Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$7.25
$-2.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?$10.29May 15, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?$10.32May 15, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$20.36May 15, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$30.00May 15, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$10.31May 15, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?$10.40May 15, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$20.46May 15, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$51.54May 15, 15:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $20.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 15:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 15:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".