Brown-Exwife
0xaabdff26185925b25bca4d431359dc6b360f0992
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$3.8K
Total PnL
$-56.39
Realised
$198.91
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
1600 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$56.00
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
1262 shares @ 95.1¢·now 95.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$0.63
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
333 shares @ 93.8¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$309.83
$-2.63
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
357 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$305.36
$5.36
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
357 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$305.36
$5.36
- NO
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan?
1300 shares @ 16.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$136.50
$-71.50
- NO
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?
1105 shares @ 6.4¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$60.76
$-10.26
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
84 shares @ 59.9¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.92
$5.54
- NO
Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
1000 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-220.00
- YES
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?
110 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-8.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?$0.06Jul 24, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?$0.06Jul 24, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?$0.06Jul 24, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?$0.06Jul 24, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?$0.06Jul 24, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?$0.06Jul 24, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?$0.06Jul 24, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?$0.06Jul 24, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?$0.06Jul 24, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?$0.06Jul 24, 02:58 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.45Jul 24, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$34.86Jul 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$300.00Jul 23, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?$2.89Jul 23, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?$35.92Jul 23, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?$0.64Jul 23, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?$1.20Jul 23, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?$2.16Jul 23, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan?$14.85Jul 23, 12:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $55.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 23:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 02:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.