Messy-Stem
0xaabf84d2b7fe1092210f6b1cf9a6cfb5fe7e21db
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$102.72
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$2.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
26 shares @ 85.8¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?
34 shares @ 58.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$19.48
$-0.52
- YES
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04?
38 shares @ 40.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$14.06
$-0.94
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
20 shares @ 3.7¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.26
$10.51
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
38 shares @ 28.8¢·now 26.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.09
$-0.91
- YES
Will El Mokawloon El Arab SC win on 2026-05-04?
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$9.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?
28 shares @ 20.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$5.36
$-0.14
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
32 shares @ 15.4¢·now 15.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.98
$-0.02
- YES
Human moon landing in 2026?
98 shares @ 5.8¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.55
$-2.15
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.40
$-2.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?$6.062h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?$5.052h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$3.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Secret Service" on Truth Social this week?$3.022h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Ceasefire" or "Cease-fire" or "Cease fire" on Truth Social this week?$3.022h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 5?$2.052h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 5?$3.102h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 5?$3.102h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 60°F or higher on May 5?$3.052h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$3.092h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.042h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$3.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$5.062h ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.062h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$5.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-04?$5.612h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04?$15.272h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Pharco FC win on 2026-05-04?$4.602h ago
- TRADEBUYWill El Mokawloon El Arab SC win on 2026-05-04?$10.192h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Odisha FC win on 2026-05-04?$3.072h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $5.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 12h ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".