Polished-Backyard
0xaacbc9d95817074834824232a53bbfb88ff290cb
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$403.13
Total PnL
$-49.70
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?
3145 shares @ 3.2¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$143.11
$42.45
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
1202 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$90.15
$6.01
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
1013 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 11, 2026$75.94
$-5.06
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
1804 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.7¢·exp May 8, 2026$48.70
$0.70
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
1346 shares @ 5.4¢·now 3.3¢·exp May 8, 2026$43.75
$-28.64
- YES
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
229 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.49
$-0.11
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
283 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-65.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?$5.002h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$38.002h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$43.002h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?$43.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$10.007h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$10.007h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$2.307h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$84.149h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$40.0013h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$48.2717h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?$10.6718h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$10.1019h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?$21.3519h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$50.0019h ago
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$270.6721h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$66.501d ago
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$49.921d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?$10.181d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?$2.141d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?$53.491d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $27.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 1d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
