Warm-Circuit
0xaad0ee811a003ff0690dce2eadfd8495da7550aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$95.08
Total PnL
$-0.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
29 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$29.26
$0.23
- NO
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
25 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$24.77
$9.66
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
21 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$20.69
$5.17
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.35
$0.02
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
36 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$15.52Feb 1, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$15.11Feb 1, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$15.80Jan 25, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$20.33Dec 31, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$29.03Dec 30, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.98Dec 22, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$10.00Dec 22, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$16.49Dec 22, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$95.81Dec 22, 10:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 22, 00:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 21, 00:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 20, 00:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 19, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 18, 00:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 17, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 16, 00:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 15, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 14, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 13, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 12, 00:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $21.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 1, 17:21 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 1, 13:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.